All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Marion Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
RH Flashrock Invite |
North Central/Carmel JV |
Metro Interscholastic Conf. |
Marion County |
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional |
Noblesville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
9/5 |
9/12 |
9/19 |
9/19 |
9/26 |
10/3 |
10/10 |
10/17 |
10/24 |
10/31 |
| Team Rating |
356 |
305 |
339 |
332 |
|
486 |
348 |
402 |
377 |
|
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
305 |
339 |
332 |
|
382 |
348 |
361 |
377 |
|
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Marion Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
RH Flashrock Invite |
North Central/Carmel JV |
Metro Interscholastic Conf. |
Marion County |
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional |
Noblesville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 24 |
Nate Killeen |
10 |
16:02 |
16:03 |
16:00 |
16:05 |
|
|
16:12 |
16:21 |
16:07 |
16:04 |
15:55 |
| 125 |
Hayden Monk |
11 |
16:44 |
16:19 |
16:22 |
16:32 |
|
16:40 |
16:50 |
|
16:57 |
17:18 |
|
| 217 |
Henry Deryke |
11 |
17:01 |
16:50 |
17:06 |
16:52 |
|
17:13 |
16:50 |
16:54 |
17:21 |
|
|
| 277 |
Woodrow Murray |
12 |
17:10 |
17:00 |
17:15 |
16:59 |
|
17:17 |
17:22 |
17:27 |
16:58 |
17:03 |
|
| 329 |
Andrew Charbonneau |
10 |
17:16 |
17:41 |
|
17:25 |
|
17:20 |
17:11 |
17:07 |
17:11 |
|
|
| 346 |
Jon Petersen |
12 |
17:19 |
|
|
17:38 |
|
|
17:07 |
17:14 |
17:22 |
|
|
| 370 |
Aaron Broderick |
12 |
17:22 |
17:15 |
17:12 |
17:26 |
|
17:34 |
|
17:19 |
17:23 |
|
|
| 541 |
Gabe Chambers |
11 |
17:44 |
17:44 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 589 |
Sawyer Husain |
11 |
17:48 |
17:32 |
17:56 |
|
|
17:52 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 624 |
Jack Strabala |
11 |
17:52 |
17:52 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 671 |
Jackson Scott |
9 |
17:56 |
18:00 |
|
|
|
18:00 |
17:42 |
18:01 |
|
|
|
| 763 |
Henry Bustamante |
9 |
18:05 |
|
|
|
18:15 |
17:58 |
18:01 |
|
|
|
|
| 796 |
Xavier Guarneros |
10 |
18:09 |
17:19 |
18:07 |
|
|
|
18:39 |
|
|
|
|
| 811 |
Robert Fitzgerald |
11 |
18:10 |
|
|
18:07 |
|
18:12 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,183 |
Owen Osterman |
9 |
18:39 |
|
|
|
19:01 |
18:39 |
18:18 |
|
|
|
|
|
Grady Hadar |
10 |
19:05 |
|
|
|
19:04 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Emmett Tuason |
9 |
19:14 |
|
|
|
19:24 |
19:17 |
18:56 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
5.6 |
148 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
7.6 |
24.2 |
63.6 |
4.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.0 |
57 |
0.1 |
94.9 |
5.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nate Killeen |
99.7% |
26.0 |
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
1.8 |
2.8 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
2.6 |
3.1 |
3.4 |
2.9 |
2.5 |
3.6 |
2.8 |
3.6 |
99.7% |
99.7% |
| Hayden Monk |
12.6% |
86.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12.6% |
12.6% |
| Henry Deryke |
0.4% |
109.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.4% |
0.4% |
| Woodrow Murray |
0.0% |
76.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
0.1% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nate Killeen |
100% |
11.0 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
2.0 |
3.3 |
4.6 |
5.4 |
7.3 |
7.9 |
8.8 |
9.6 |
6.6 |
7.8 |
7.6 |
5.2 |
4.9 |
3.6 |
3.0 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
1.5 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Hayden Monk |
99.5% |
45.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
99.5% |
99.5% |
| Henry Deryke |
83.2% |
67.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
83.2% |
83.2% |
| Woodrow Murray |
45.4% |
77.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
45.4% |
45.4% |
| Andrew Charbonneau |
22.5% |
83.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
22.5% |
22.5% |
| Jon Petersen |
13.7% |
87.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
13.7% |
13.7% |
| Aaron Broderick |
9.3% |
85.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
9.3% |
9.3% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nate Killeen |
100% |
5.6 |
0.2 |
3.2 |
10.1 |
14.8 |
15.1 |
11.8 |
11.2 |
8.1 |
6.7 |
5.0 |
4.4 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
1.4 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Hayden Monk |
100% |
24.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
3.0 |
2.3 |
4.1 |
4.4 |
5.4 |
5.2 |
5.9 |
5.6 |
5.5 |
5.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Henry Deryke |
100% |
35.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Woodrow Murray |
100% |
42.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Andrew Charbonneau |
100% |
46.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
99.9% |
| Jon Petersen |
100% |
48.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
|
99.8% |
| Aaron Broderick |
100% |
49.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
99.7% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nate Killeen |
1.9 |
21.6 |
30.3 |
17.3 |
21.6 |
6.0 |
3.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Hayden Monk |
7.2 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.9 |
5.1 |
8.3 |
30.8 |
20.8 |
12.6 |
8.0 |
4.8 |
3.2 |
2.6 |
1.2 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Henry Deryke |
11.7 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
1.9 |
8.5 |
10.0 |
11.4 |
10.3 |
10.2 |
8.8 |
9.3 |
8.2 |
5.3 |
4.9 |
3.7 |
2.1 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
|
| Woodrow Murray |
16.0 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.7 |
2.5 |
3.3 |
4.9 |
6.4 |
7.1 |
7.3 |
8.8 |
8.8 |
9.2 |
7.4 |
7.7 |
6.8 |
5.3 |
4.0 |
3.2 |
2.9 |
1.6 |
| Andrew Charbonneau |
18.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.5 |
3.7 |
4.0 |
4.8 |
7.2 |
7.6 |
8.3 |
9.3 |
8.6 |
8.1 |
7.1 |
7.3 |
5.7 |
3.6 |
| Jon Petersen |
20.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
2.4 |
3.5 |
4.9 |
5.0 |
6.0 |
6.6 |
8.3 |
6.7 |
8.3 |
9.3 |
7.5 |
6.5 |
7.6 |
| Aaron Broderick |
21.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
2.1 |
2.7 |
3.3 |
4.6 |
4.7 |
6.6 |
7.9 |
7.8 |
10.4 |
8.8 |
8.0 |
8.2 |
|
